Institutional Repository of Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Studies, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Changes of Extreme Sea Level in 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C Warmer Climate Along the Coast of China | |
Feng, Jianlong1; Li, Huan1; Li, Delei2,3; Liu, Qiulin1; Wang, Hui1; Liu, Kexiu1 | |
2018-11-27 | |
发表期刊 | FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE |
ISSN | 2296-6463 |
卷号 | 6页码:9 |
通讯作者 | Feng, Jianlong(jianlongf@hotmail.com) |
摘要 | Using hourly sea level data from 15 tide gauges along the Chinese coast and sea level data of three simulations of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), we assessed the changes and benefits of the extreme sea level of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees C instead of 2.0 degrees C. Observations show that the extreme sea level has risen with high confidence during the past decades along the coast of China, while the mean sea level change, especially the long-term change plays important roles in the changing process of extreme sea levels. Under the 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C warming scenarios, the sea level will rise with fluctuations in the future, so will the return levels of the extreme sea levels. Compared with the 1.5 degrees C warming condition, the return levels under the 2.0 degrees C warming condition will rise significantly at all tide gauges along the Chinese coast. The results indicate that a 0.5 degrees C warming will bring much difference to the extreme sea levels along the coast of China. It is of great necessity to limit anthropogenic warming to 1.5 degrees C rather than 2.0 degrees C, as proposed by the Paris Climate Agreement, which will greatly reduce the potential risks of future flood disasters along the coast of China and is beneficial for risk response management. |
关键词 | extreme sea level return sea level sea level rise projection strom surge |
DOI | 10.3389/feart.2018.00216 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41706019] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41706020] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41406032] ; Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting ; [2016YFC1401900] ; [2017YFC1404200] ; [2017YFA0604101] ; [2017YFA0604102] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41706019] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41706020] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41406032] ; Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting ; [2016YFC1401900] ; [2017YFC1404200] ; [2017YFA0604101] ; [2017YFA0604102] |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000454098300001 |
出版者 | FRONTIERS MEDIA SA |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/155781 |
专题 | 海洋环流与波动重点实验室 |
通讯作者 | Feng, Jianlong |
作者单位 | 1.Natl Marine Data & Informat Serv, Tianjin, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao, Peoples R China 3.Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Funct Lab Ocean Dynam & Climate, Qingdao, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Feng, Jianlong,Li, Huan,Li, Delei,et al. Changes of Extreme Sea Level in 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C Warmer Climate Along the Coast of China[J]. FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE,2018,6:9. |
APA | Feng, Jianlong,Li, Huan,Li, Delei,Liu, Qiulin,Wang, Hui,&Liu, Kexiu.(2018).Changes of Extreme Sea Level in 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C Warmer Climate Along the Coast of China.FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE,6,9. |
MLA | Feng, Jianlong,et al."Changes of Extreme Sea Level in 1.5 and 2.0 degrees C Warmer Climate Along the Coast of China".FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE 6(2018):9. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 文献类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Changes of Extreme S(1876KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论